Stopover optimization in a long-distance migrant: the role of fuel load and nocturnal take-off time in Alaskan northern wheatears (Oenanthe oenanthe)

Table 3 Estimating staging and detection probabilities of northern wheatears with information about their evening fuel load

Predictors	Mean	2.5%	97.5%	Rhat	n.eff
Staging probability
intercept (α ₁ )	4500	3.053	5.980	1.002	6900
*daysa* _i,t (α ₂ )	-0.474	-0.799	-0.147	1.001	20000
day.c _t (α ₃ )	-0.108	-0.308	0.091	1.001	3800
*temp.z* _t (α ₄ )	0.787	0.059	1.606	1.001	20000
wind.z _t (α ₅ )	-0.118	-0.614	0.370	1.001	20000
twc.z _t (α ₆ )	0.236	-0.382	0.878	1.001	20000
indfirst _i,t (α ₇ )	-0.830	-2.251	0.734	1.001	20000
*efl* _i,t (α ₈ )	-3.915	-6.760	-1.098	1.001	20000
efl _i,t x day.c _t (α ₉ )	0328	-0.106	0.766	1.001	20000
Detection probability
intercept (β ₁ )	2.946	1.665	4.515	1.001	2000
*radio-tagged* _i (β ₂ )	30.796	4.328	64.840	1.001	2000
surfwind.z _t+1 (β ₃ )	-0.143	-0.929	0.754	1.001	3700
deviance	26.497	16.380	42.420	1.001	6100

As Table 2, but for model fitted in the second step using the 30 individuals with evening fuel load measurements in addition to the 75 individuals analysed in Table 2.

ISSN: 1742-9994