a) | ||||||||
Session | Model definition | Parameter | Posterior_Mean | Posterior_SD | 95%_Lower_HPD_Level | 95%_Upper_HPD_Level | z-score | Bayes p-value |
2014 | NE_NULL | 0.714 | ||||||
σ | 2871.93 | 170.52 | 2565.85 | 3226.57 | 0.0404 | |||
λο | 0.9028 | 0.4192 | 0.3154 | 1.7200 | 0.2870 | |||
Ψ | 0.2880 | 0.0844 | 0.1358 | 0.4552 | 0.2071 | |||
Nsuper | 31.20 | 8.14 | 17 | 47 | −0.0156 | |||
Density | 1.31 | 0.34 | 0.71 | 1.97 | ||||
2015 | HN_NULL | 0.609 | ||||||
σ | 2424.42 | 137.63 | 2181.91 | 2715.64 | −0.8695 | |||
λο | 0.1220 | 0.0176 | 0.0882 | 0.1573 | 0.9000 | |||
Ψ | 0.2238 | 0.0590 | 0.1142 | 0.3393 | 0.2409 | |||
Nsuper | 28.94 | 6.37 | 17 | 41 | 0.6992 | |||
Density | 1.21 | 0.27 | 0.71 | 1.72 | ||||
b) | ||||||||
Session | Model definition | Parameter | Mean | SE | 95%_Lower_HPD_Level | 95%_Upper_HPD_Level | ||
2014 | NE_NULL | σ | 1173.51 | 152.14 | 911.16 | 1511.4 | ||
go | 0.6879 | 0.2985 | 0.13 | 0.97 | ||||
Density | 1.21 | 0.4 | 0.64 | 2.26 | ||||
2015 | HN_NULL | σ | 2428.29 | 133.35 | 2180.665 | 2704.03 | ||
go | 0.1162 | 0.0156 | 0.0898 | 0.15054 | ||||
Density | 1.15 | 0.34 | 0.65 | 2.04 |