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Table 3 Parameter estimates for the geographical clines shown in Fig. 4. The results for Structure and NewHybrids on the panel of microsatellites are taken as the reference. Significant differences with the 2log-likelihood unit support limits falling outside the range observed for the reference clines are shown in boldface type

From: Concordant morphological and molecular clines in a contact zone of the Common and Spined toad (Bufo bufo and B. spinosus) in the northwest of France

 

Model

Character, unit

Type

Centre

Width

δ L

δ R

τ L

τ R

p min

p max

Microsatellite reference clines

 Structure, Q

fixN

−1.0 (−1.0–0.7)

30.3 (21.5–44.4)

    

0.016

0.983

 NewHybrids, posterior probability

   - B. spinosus side of transect

fixL

−1.0 (−1.0–−0.2)

0.6 (0.0–1.3)

0.000

 

0.007

 

0.000

0.990

   - B. bufo side of transect

typR

10.8 (8.4–20.0)

12.2 (6.0–29.9)

 

1.729

 

0.048

0

1

 Thresholds–min, max

 

−1.0, 20.0

0.0, 44.4

      

Tested clines

 PCA on microsatellites, loading first axis

fixN

4.6 (−1.0−15.7)

104.9 (64.4–179.7)

    

−1.301

1.156

 mtDNA, haplotype frequency

typN

−1.0 (−1.0–2.4)

43.5 (31.0–64.0)

    

0

1

 Parotoids, classification probability

fixN

65.5 (27.3–122.8)

255.1 (107.7–> 400)

    

0.142

0.769

 Metatarsal tubercle, idem

fixN

96.6 (54.2–145.3)

298.7 (164.4–> 400)

    

0.060

0.865

 BDNF, allele frequency

fixR

3.8 (−0.9–18.6)

58.9 (46.9–115.8)

 

0.505

 

0.274

0.023

1.000

 POMC, idem

optN

22.3 (9.2–41.5)

90.7 (52.6–176.7)

    

0.187

0.951

 RAG1, idem

typB

4.0 (−0.7–9.1)

35.7 (23.4–56.2)

2.811

20.704

0.360

0.042

0

1

 RPL3, idem

fixR

−0.9 (−1.0–3.9)

26.8 (23.0–49.1)

 

1.064

 

0.507

0.050

1.000

  1. For the chosen models p min and p max are fixed to 0 and 1 (typ models), or their empirical values (fix models), or p min and p max are fitted (opt model). Tail fitting encompassed right (R), left (L), none (N) or both fitted (B). Cline position is the centre of the contact zone and ca. equals the distance to Beaulieu (in km, population 10, see Table 1). Cline width (w) is calculated as 1/maximum slope. Two log-likelihood unit support limits are presented in parentheses. δ and τ are the shape parameters for the left and right tails, and p min and p max are the character states at either end of the transect