Clade
|
Character state
|
Posterior probability
|
log(harmonic mean of likelihoods)
|
BF test statistic 2 [logA-logB]
|
---|
A
|
non-retention
|
0.005 ± 0.016
|
-31.9672
|
7.31
|
|
short-term retention
|
0.891 ± 0.180
|
-28.3106
|
-
|
|
long-term retention
|
0.103 ± 0.179
|
-30.2700
|
3.92
|
B
|
non-retention
|
0.002 ± 0.011
|
-35.4964
|
14.43
|
|
short-term retention
|
0.526 ± 0.261
|
-28.2813
|
-
|
|
long-term retention
|
0.472 ± 0.261
|
-30.4022
|
4.24
|
- Taxa were coded as having non-retention, short-term retention, or long-term retention of functional chloroplasts based on PAM data. The evolution of kleptoplasty was then modeled using Bayesian Inference via Markov-Chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate the posterior probability of alternative character states. Posterior probabilities (means ± one standard deviation) were calculated from an MCMC chain run for 20 million generations. Bayes factor (BF) tests were used to compare log-likelihood scores of models in which the ancestor was assigned one of the possible character states; values >2 represent positive evidence and values >5 represent strong evidence for models fixing the ancestral state as short-term retention.